All Cause Mortality Archives - Evidence Not Fear

Interview highlights

COVID-19 is not a dread disease that will kill everyone.
The initially high case fatality rate of COVID-19 was because the medical community didn’t know how to treat it.
The fatality rate of flu is 0.1% (1 in every 1,000 who are infected end up dying).
Ventilators are the wrong option if you do not have an obstructed airway disease.
Prod. Ioannidis: The infection fatality ratio of COVID-19 is 0.15%. This is pretty much the same as the flu.
We should just ask people to be careful but otherwise go about your daily life.
These things pass every year. This is the first ‘social media pandemic.’
The normal practice for intensive care beds in the NHS is to run them almost full. This is because a lot of intensive care bed assignment is planned.
ICU use at the height of the pandemic was has very low because the NHS was run as light as possible to cope with a second wave.
Respiratory viruses don’t do waves.
This is not opinion but is basic understanding among experts in the field. It is supposrted by the highest quality science. Sir Patrick Vallance knows this.
COVID-19 follows the Gompertz Curve.
You have immunity after your body has fought off a respiratory virus. If that was not the case, you’d be dead. Immunity probably lasts decades based on evidence from other viruses.
Gompertz Curve is identical in all heavily infection regions.
Something awefull happened in the middle of the year: PCR swab test.
It is not true that if you test more people you’ll save more lives. A certain percentage of the test will come up positive even if there’s no virus in you.
False positive rate wasn’t released.
Kate Barker wrote in a government document on June 3rd, 2020, to SAGE: test has an unknown false positive rate; based on similar tests it may be between 1%-2%. This is a big deal.
Based on 1%: for every 1,000 people you test, 10 will come back positive, even if they don’t have the virus. If prevalence is only 0.1% as reported by ONS, only 1 in 1,000 will be genuine. This means 9 in 10–in other words 90%–are false.
Pillar 2 testing would have caused of the most of the positives to be false.
1,700 people die normally every day in the UK. During the summer, only about 10 were dying per day of covid.
More testing, more false positives. We’ll never escape covid if we keep testing because most of the positives will be false. This is immunology 101. Sir Patrick Vallance would have known this.
Influenza is a high mutation-rate virus. Coronaviruses are relatively stable so once you’ve recovered, you are probably immune for decades.
COVID-19 kills 0.15%-0.2%, slightly more lethal than the average flu. Once it’s gone through the population, it won’t come back.
99.94% survive COVID-19 and will be resistant for a long time.
COVID-19 is 80% similar to SARS-COV-1.
People who were exposed to SARS have T-cell immunity 17 years later. Evidence for COVID-19 all point in direction.
Our bodies have many lines of defense, including innate immunity and T-cells. Antibodies are in the last line of defense.
Study shows around 30% prior immunity to SARS-COV-2. It was due to exposure to common-cold coronaviruses.
The claim made by Sir Patrick Vallance that more than 90% are susceptible is a lie.
Mass testing of the well populating is the worst problem as it generates false positives, fear and control.
If you’re immune, you can’t be infected or infectious. Herd immunity is already in play in London.
If SAGE is correct, London should be ‘ablaze’ with deaths.
Current testing methods are not forensically sound.
Tests detect common cold and dead virus.
SARS-COV-2 has never really been a public health emergency.
We do not need the vaccine to return to normal. Most people are not in danger from COVID-19. More people are in danger from car crashes and we accept that risk.
Best case scenario is that the vaccine is 50% effective. Natural immunity might be better.
The most vulnerable often don’t respond well to vaccines and die anyway.
SAGE is giving lethally wrong advice.
The reason the pandemic is not over is because SAGE says it’s not.