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Covid19 Death Figures “A Substantial Over-Estimate” – Off-Guardian

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News Videos

Official data proves the crisis was over before lockdown

Andrew Mather, a mathematician and financier based in the UK, offers a series of videos analysing the COVID-19 data released by various governmental and health bodies.

In this video, he presents how the government had access to data that the case-count growth rate was decelerating long before the UK lockdown.

Curve Analysis

His Primer on Curve Analysis may also be useful.

Why the UK lockdown hasn’t worked

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News Videos

Trevor Kavanagh: ‘Hysteria forced UK into lockdown’

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Publications

SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data

“The mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified at the study hospital in France”.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300972

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COVID-19 is no longer considered a high consequence infectious disease – Public Health England

Public Health England Status of COVID-19

https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid#status-of-covid-19

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How deadly is the coronavirus? It’s still far from clear – The Spectator

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/The-evidence-on-Covid-19-is-not-as-clear-as-we-think

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Charts showing COVID-19 death in proportion with flu deaths

InProportion2 chart updated 9th April 2020
InProportion2 updated 9th April 2020

Visit source website at http://inproportion2.talkigy.com/

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Publications

Office for National Statistics Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending20march2020

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Neil Ferguson, the scientist who convinced Boris Johnson of UK coronavirus lockdown, criticised in past for flawed research – The Telegraph

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/28/neil-ferguson-scientist-convinced-boris-johnson-uk-coronavirus-lockdown-criticised/

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Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless – US statistician Nate Silver

Nate Silver, an American statistician, tells us why coronavirus case counts are meaningless.

*Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated.

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Publications

Covid-19: four fifths of cases are asymptomatic, China figures indicate – The BMJ

https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375

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Strictly by the numbers, the coronavirus does not register as a dire global crisis – Former chief medical officer for Ontario

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-strictly-by-the-numbers-the-coronavirus-does-not-register-as-a-dire/

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Professor who predicted 500,000 Britons could die from coronavirus and prompted Boris Johnson to order lockdown accused of having ‘patchy record of modelling pandemics’ – Mail Online

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8164121/Professor-predicted-500-000-Britons-die-coronavirus-accused-having-patchy-record.html

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Oxford University: COVID-19 may have been circulating in the UK since Jan 2020 and much of the population may already be immune – Yahoo News

https://news.yahoo.com/oxford-study-suggests-millions-people-221100162.html

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Confirmed Coronavirus Cases Is an ‘Almost Meaningless’ Metric – Bloomberg / Yahoo Finance

“The numbers are almost meaningless,” says Steve Goodman, a professor of epidemiology at Stanford University. There’s a huge reservoir of people who have mild cases, and would not likely seek testing, he says. The rate of increase in positive results reflect a mixed-up combination of increased testing rates and spread of the virus.

https://finance.yahoo.com/news/confirmed-coronavirus-cases-almost-meaningless-123550415.html

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Coronavirus disease 2019: the harms of exaggerated information and non‐evidence‐based measures

https://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/abs/10.1111/eci.13222

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All-cause mortality levels in European countries

EuroMOMO is an agency that monitors deaths across Europe. The chart below compares death levels in week 2 of 2017 with week 14 of 2020. The darker blue means more deaths.

EuroMOMO European mortality bulletin week 14, 2020

https://www.euromomo.eu/index.html

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Diamond Princess 48% test-positive cases remained completely symptom-free – National Institute of Infectious Diseases Japan

https://www.niid.go.jp/niid/en/2019-ncov-e/9407-covid-dp-fe-01.html

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Other illness may have killed 99% of fatalities in Italy – Bloomberg

https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2020-03-18/99-of-those-who-died-from-virus-had-other-illness-italy-says

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Investigating influenza mortality in Italy (2013/14–2016/17 seasons)

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S1201971219303285