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Publications

Population-level COVID-19 mortality risk for non-elderly individuals overall and for non-elderly individuals without underlying diseases in pandemic epicenters – medRxiv

 CONCLUSIONS: People <65 years old have very small risks of COVID-19 death even in pandemic epicenters and deaths for people <65 years without underlying predisposing conditions are remarkably uncommon. Strategies focusing specifically on protecting high-risk elderly individuals should be considered in managing the pandemic.

COVID-19 is largely harmless to the general population under 65 with no pre-existing conditions, who are more likely to die in a road accident.

https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.04.05.20054361v2

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Publications

The rate of positive tests in the US, France, Germany and Switzerland is not increasing exponentially

The rate of positive tests in the US, France, Germany and Switzerland is not increasing exponentially.

Felix Scholkmann is a biophysicist at University Hospital Zurich, University of Zurich, Switzerland.

https://twitter.com/FScholkmann/status/1249645557431361538
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News Videos

Is social distancing working? – Professor Knut Wittkoski

https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=M4dooalPHg0
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News

Mortality rates are rising in the UK – and everyone is ignoring it – New Statesman

https://www.newstatesman.com/politics/staggers/2019/07/mortality-rates-are-rising-uk-and-everyone-ignoring-it

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News

No, coronavirus is not “20x deadlier” than the flu – Off-Guardian

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Videos

The crisis was over before lock-down

Andrew Mather, a mathematician and financier based in the UK, explains how the official data clearly showed that the COVID-19 crisis was over in the UK before the lock-down.

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News

CDC: 80,000 people died of flu last winter in U.S., highest death toll in 40 years

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News

Why Some Doctors Are Now Moving Away From Ventilator Treatments for Coronavirus Patients – TIME

Generally speaking, 40% to 50% of patients with severe respiratory distress die while on ventilators, experts say. But 80% or more of coronavirus patients placed on the machines in New York City have died, state and city officials say.

https://web.archive.org/web/20200409192719/https://time.com/5818547/ventilators-coronavirus/

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News

Covid19 Death Figures “A Substantial Over-Estimate” – Off-Guardian

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News Videos

Official data proves the crisis was over before lockdown

Andrew Mather, a mathematician and financier based in the UK, offers a series of videos analysing the COVID-19 data released by various governmental and health bodies.

In this video, he presents how the government had access to data that the case-count growth rate was decelerating long before the UK lockdown.

Curve Analysis

His Primer on Curve Analysis may also be useful.

Why the UK lockdown hasn’t worked

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News Videos

Trevor Kavanagh: ‘Hysteria forced UK into lockdown’

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Publications

SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data

“The mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified at the study hospital in France”.

https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300972

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Publications

COVID-19 is no longer considered a high consequence infectious disease – Public Health England

Public Health England Status of COVID-19

https://www.gov.uk/guidance/high-consequence-infectious-diseases-hcid#status-of-covid-19

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News

How deadly is the coronavirus? It’s still far from clear – The Spectator

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/The-evidence-on-Covid-19-is-not-as-clear-as-we-think

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Publications

Charts showing COVID-19 death in proportion with flu deaths

InProportion2 chart updated 9th April 2020
InProportion2 updated 9th April 2020

Visit source website at http://inproportion2.talkigy.com/

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Publications

Office for National Statistics Deaths registered weekly in England and Wales

https://www.ons.gov.uk/peoplepopulationandcommunity/birthsdeathsandmarriages/deaths/bulletins/deathsregisteredweeklyinenglandandwalesprovisional/weekending20march2020

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News

Neil Ferguson, the scientist who convinced Boris Johnson of UK coronavirus lockdown, criticised in past for flawed research – The Telegraph

https://www.telegraph.co.uk/news/2020/03/28/neil-ferguson-scientist-convinced-boris-johnson-uk-coronavirus-lockdown-criticised/

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News

Coronavirus Case Counts Are Meaningless – US statistician Nate Silver

Nate Silver, an American statistician, tells us why coronavirus case counts are meaningless.

*Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated.

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Publications

Covid-19: four fifths of cases are asymptomatic, China figures indicate – The BMJ

https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375

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News

Strictly by the numbers, the coronavirus does not register as a dire global crisis – Former chief medical officer for Ontario

https://www.theglobeandmail.com/opinion/article-strictly-by-the-numbers-the-coronavirus-does-not-register-as-a-dire/