Resources - Page 97 of 103 - Evidence Not Fear

British epidemiologist: why are we locking down if China results are representative?

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

Covid-19: four fifths of cases are asymptomatic, China figures indicate:

https://www.bmj.com/content/369/bmj.m1375

British epidemiologist Tom Jefferson tells the BMJ, “The sample [evidence from China] is small, and more data will become available. Also, it’s not clear exactly how these cases were identified. But let’s just say they are generalisable. And even if they are 10% out, then this suggests the virus is everywhere. If—and I stress, if—the results are representative, then we have to ask, ‘What the hell are we locking down for?”

Tom Jefferson, is an epidemiologist at the Cochrane Acute Respiratory Infections (ARI) Group and writes for thebmjopinion.

Tags Asymptomatic, China, Lockdown, Professor Tom Jefferson, Statistics

News Publications

UCL: closing schools does not help control COVID-19 epidemic

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

School closure and management practices during coronavirus outbreaks including COVID-19: a rapid systematic review:

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lanchi/article/PIIS2352-4642(20)30095-X/fulltext

Summary from BBC News:

While school closures help during influenza outbreaks, the same may not apply to coronavirus
Data from the Sars outbreak (in mainland China, Hong Kong, and Singapore) suggest that school closures did not contribute to the control of the epidemic
Recent modelling studies of Covid-19 predict that school closures alone would prevent only 2%-4% of deaths, many fewer than other social distancing interventions

Tags China, COVID-19, Hong Kong, Lockdown, Response, SARS, Schools, Singapore, Statistics, UK, University College London

News Publications

COVID-19 Models Misrepresent Reality

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

According to Ned Nikolov, Ph.D. a physical scientist in Colorado, USA, the COVID-19 models misrepresent reality.

Comparing #COVID19 Projections (https://covid19.healthdata.org/projections) with reported data by Covid Tracking (https://covidtracking.com/data/) for Apr 5:

Overestimation of hospitalizations: 8 times
Overestimation of of ICU beds needed: 6.4 times
Overestimation of ventilators needed: 40.5 times

These are the types of “projections” that drive the #COVID19 hysteria. The level of exaggeration by these so-called models is staggering. This is also what JUNK science looks like.
Dr. Fauci’s recommendations for lockdown are based on such faulty models. It’s truly a disgrace!

Ned Nikolov: verestimation of hospitalizations

Tweets by NikolovScience

Tags COVID-19, Misinformation, Modelling, Statistics

News Videos

Perspectives on the Pandemic | Dr. David L. Katz | Episode 3

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

00:58-How to minimize the risk of COVID-19
03:52-Comparing the responses to a global pandemic
08:53-Who is most at risk
13:44-Is our global response warranted?
17:17-Comparing COVID-19 to the flu
20:55-Is the risk really that high?
23:53-What is the fatality rate versus other common risk factors?
25:29–00:58-How to minimize the risk of COVID-19
03:52-Comparing the responses to a global pandemic
08:53-Who is most at risk
13:44-Is our global response warranted?
17:17-Comparing COVID-19 to the flu
20:55-Is the risk really that high?
23:53-What is the fatality rate versus other common risk factors? 25:29-The risk of labeling COVID-19 as a ?pandemic?
26:14-Are the COVID-19 tests reliable?
28:58-Should we be concerned about herd immunity?
30:16-On the chances of getting a vaccine
31:47-The return of ?measles parties??
34:30-Breaking down the pros and cons of herd immunity
37:25-Is lockdown making the problem worse?
40:01-How to really hashtag Flatten the Curve
45:45-Can we really trace the exposure for every person?
48:06-Is authoritarianism growing in the name of public health? 50:37-Who can we trust when this pandemic is over?
54:54-Industries? roles in the pandemic

Tags Civil Liberties, Collateral Damage, COVID-19, Dr. David Katz, Economy, Flatten the Curve, Herd Immunity, Journeyman Pictures, Lockdown, Medical Experts, Medical Industry, Mortality Rate, Response

Publications

Microbial Exposure During Early Life Has Persistent Effects on Natural Killer T Cell Function – Science

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

Exposure to microbes during early childhood is associated with protection from immune-mediated diseases such as inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) and asthma. Here, we show that in germ-free (GF) mice, invariant natural killer T (iNKT) cells accumulate in the colonic lamina propria and lung, resulting in increased morbidity in models of IBD and allergic asthma as compared with that of specific pathogen-free mice. This was associated with increased intestinal and pulmonary expression of the chemokine ligand CXCL16, which was associated with increased mucosal iNKT cells. Colonization of neonatal—but not adult—GF mice with a conventional microbiota protected the animals from mucosal iNKT accumulation and related pathology. These results indicate that age-sensitive contact with commensal microbes is critical for establishing mucosal iNKT cell tolerance to later environmental exposures.

https://science.sciencemag.org/content/336/6080/489

Tags Bacteria, Children, Germs, Immunity, Science Magazine, T Cells

Opinion

SCIENTIST REVEALS WHY IT’S IMPORTANT TO LET YOUR KIDS BE EXPOSED TO GERMS – The Independent (2017)

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

Parents are over-sterlising the environments of their children because they don’t understand why dirt is good for us, a germ expert says.

Professor Jack Gilbert said that exposure to microbes prevalent in the great outdoors will establish a stronger, more robust immune system in young people.

“Most parents think all germs are bad, that is not true. Most will just stimulate your immune system and make you stronger,” Prof Gilbert told The Independent.

…Prof Gilbert also claims that hand sanitizer is more damaging to a child’s health than soapy water. According to Prof Gilbert, children’s immune systems were more healthy and robust than they are today because of more relaxed attitudes to germs. He explains that more fermented foods which contain bacteria, enable children higher exposure to animals, plants and soil more often.

https://www.independent.co.uk/life-style/health-and-families/health-news/why-its-important-expose-kids-germs-scientist-explains-jack-gilbert-children-babies-immune-systems-a7845031.html

Tags Bacteria, Children, Germs, Hand Gels, Immunity, Professor Jack Gilbert

Videos

President of the Italian Civil Protection Service reports on Italy’s fatality figures

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 15 April 2020

“I want you to remember these people died WITH the coronavirus and not FROM the coronavirus“

https://youtu.be/0M4kbPDHGR0

Tags COVID-19, Death Registration, Italian Civil Protection Service, Italy, Statistics

News

Lockdown: A Response to Professor King – Robert Craig, UK Human Rights Blog

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

Lockdown: A Response to Professor King — Robert Craig

Tags Civil Liberties, Law, Lockdown, Robert Craig, UK

News

Why we must resist the corona-tyrants – UnHerd

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

As Parliament keeps the whole population under house arrest, there are very few voices of dissent

https://unherd.com/2020/04/why-we-must-resist-the-corona-tyrants/?tl_inbound=1&tl_groups[0]=18743&tl_period_type=3

Tags Civil Liberties, COVID-19, UK, UnHerd

Opinion

Top Israeli prof claims simple stats show virus plays itself out after 70 days – The Times of Israel

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

A prominent Israeli mathematician, analyst and former general claims simple statistical analysis demonstrates that the spread of COVID-19 peaks after about 40 days and declines to almost zero after 70 days — no matter where it strikes, and no matter what measures governments impose to try to thwart it.

https://www.timesofisrael.com/top-israeli-prof-claims-simple-stats-show-virus-plays-itself-out-after-70-days/

Tags COVID-19, Economy, Government Intervention, Israel, Lockdown, Peak, Professor Isaac Ben-Israel, Response, Statistics

Publications

What is hydroxychloroquine (Plaquenil), and what is it used for? – MedicineNet

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

Hydroxychloroquine (Plaquenil) and its sister drug chlo r oquine (Aralen) are under investigation for treatment of the COVID-19 coronavirus disease
Korean doctors used these anti-malaria drugs to treat COVID-19 with some success, according to a paper filed with Elsevier in March 2020, but effectiveness is unproven.

https://www.medicinenet.com/hydroxychloroquine/article.htm

Tags COVID-19, Hydroxychloroquine, MedicineNet, Treatment

News

COVID antibody test in German town shows 15 percent infection rate – The Spectator

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

It seems that the British government’s assumption that COVID-19 would infect 80 percent of the population was borrowed from a 2015 flu pandemic planning report.

https://www.spectator.co.uk/article/covid-antibody-test-in-german-town-shows-15-per-cent-infection-rate-0-4pc-death-rate

Tags COVID-19, Germany, Infection, Influenza, Statistics, Testing, The Spectator, UK

News

Hospital A&E wards ‘in crisis over shortage of emergency doctors’ – The Guardian (2016)

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

Article from 2016:

Royal College of Emergency Medicine says workforce is not growing fast enough to keep pace with rising numbers of patients.

https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/aug/10/hospital-a-and-e-crisis-shortage-emergency-doctors

Tags Capacity, Influenza, NHS, UK

News

Offline: Is the NHS in crisis? – The Lancet (2017)

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

https://www.thelancet.com/journals/lancet/article/PIIS0140-6736(17)31187-X/fulltext

Tags Capacity, NHS, The Lancet, UK

Publications

Discrepancies between Antigen and Polymerase Chain Reaction Tests for the Detection of Rotavirus and Norovirus – PubMed (2016)

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

We compared the results of an antigen test (ELISA) with those of polymerase chain reaction (PCR) for the detection of rotavirus and norovirus in stool specimens. Rotavirus and norovirus antigen-positive stool specimens were collected, and rotavirus and norovirus PCRs were performed on these specimens. Of the 325 rotavirus antigen-positive specimens, 200 were positive for both assays and 125 were PCR negative. Of 286 norovirus antigen-positive specimens, 51 were PCR negative. Comparison of the lower limit of detection showed that rotavirus PCR was 16 times more sensitive and norovirus PCR was over 4,000 times more sensitive than the ELISA. Discrepant results between ELISA and PCR were common, and the possibility of false-positive and false-negative results should be considered with rotavirus and norovirus assays.

https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/27312553

Tags Antibody, Discrepancies, Errors, Norovirus, PubMed, Rotavirus, RT-PCR, Testing

Publications

Polio eradication: a complex end game – BMJ (2012)

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

Polio vaccines are not only ineffective in preventing paralysis, they carry the risk of contamination with many harmful adventitious microorganisms, of which only some monkey viruses have been researched in more detail. Many other potentially dangerous microorganisms remain unaddressed.

https://web.archive.org/web/20201207083415/https://www.bmj.com/content/344/bmj.e2398/rr/599724

Tags BMJ, Contamination, Paralysis, Polio, Side-effects, Vaccination

News Videos

150,000 may die as a result of the shutdown – Peter Hitchens, talkRADIO

Post author By EvidenceNotFear
Post date 14 April 2020

According Peter Hitches, the government has projected that 150,000 people may die as a result of the lockdowns. This is at around 10m20s in the talkRADIO interview.