It seems that the British government’s assumption that COVID-19 would infect 80 percent of the population was borrowed from a 2015 flu pandemic planning report.
Influenza
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Article from 2016:
Royal College of Emergency Medicine says workforce is not growing fast enough to keep pace with rising numbers of patients.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2016/aug/10/hospital-a-and-e-crisis-shortage-emergency-doctors
Lethality of COVID-19 has been overestimated and is likely to be in the range between normal and pandemic influenza.
The threat of an influenza pandemic has alarmed countries around the globe and given rise to an intense interest in disease mitigation measures. This article reviews what is known about the effectiveness and practical feasibility of a range of actions that might be taken in attempts to lessen the number of cases and deaths resulting from an influenza pandemic. The article also discusses potential adverse second- and third-order effects of mitigation actions that decision makers must take into account. Finally, the article summarizes the authors’ judgments of the likely effectiveness and likely adverse consequences of the range of disease mitigation measures and suggests priorities and practical actions to be taken.
Fatality of COVID-19 in Wuhan was only 0.04% to 0.12%, lower than seasonal flu, which has a mortality rate of about 0.1%.
Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission potential and virulence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan City: China, January-February, 2020:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434v2
Article from 2017 warning about the risk of A&E departments ‘grinding to a halt’.
https://www.theguardian.com/society/2017/sep/24/winter-flu-crisis-hospitals-overstretched
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Conflicts of interest and pandemic flu – BMJ
Dr. Wolfgang Wodarg, an epidemiologist and lung disease specialist, explains coronavirus testing.
Update 16 December 2020: This video has been censored from YouTube. An archived mirror is available below.
Note: The original video has been censored from YouTube. You may find an archive on Bitchute:
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