[Nicola Oliver ] tells us that 15,969 people died of flu (in England) last year, although only 320 died in hospital, and 15,649 were apparently left to die without due medical attention at home. What she fails to note is that the 15,969 deaths were not recorded deaths but a projection derived from the Flumomo algorithm [2] for ‘flu attributable deaths’ based on all cause mortality [3], so it does not really get us anywhere (except that it is just kind of thing I am complaining about!)
Mortality Rate
Public Health England, on their 21 March 2020 update for High consequence infectious diseases (HCID), stated, “As of 19 March 2020, COVID-19 is no longer considered to be a high consequence infectious disease in the UK.”
Medical experts advise that COVID-19 is harmless to most people and we should tackle the disease just as we currently do with seasonal influenza.
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- 00:58-How to minimize the risk of COVID-19
- 03:52-Comparing the responses to a global pandemic
- 08:53-Who is most at risk
- 13:44-Is our global response warranted?
- 17:17-Comparing COVID-19 to the flu
- 20:55-Is the risk really that high?
- 23:53-What is the fatality rate versus other common risk factors?
- 25:29–00:58-How to minimize the risk of COVID-19
- 03:52-Comparing the responses to a global pandemic
- 08:53-Who is most at risk
- 13:44-Is our global response warranted?
- 17:17-Comparing COVID-19 to the flu
- 20:55-Is the risk really that high?
- 23:53-What is the fatality rate versus other common risk factors? 25:29-The risk of labeling COVID-19 as a ?pandemic?
- 26:14-Are the COVID-19 tests reliable?
- 28:58-Should we be concerned about herd immunity?
- 30:16-On the chances of getting a vaccine
- 31:47-The return of ?measles parties??
- 34:30-Breaking down the pros and cons of herd immunity
- 37:25-Is lockdown making the problem worse?
- 40:01-How to really hashtag Flatten the Curve
- 45:45-Can we really trace the exposure for every person?
- 48:06-Is authoritarianism growing in the name of public health? 50:37-Who can we trust when this pandemic is over?
- 54:54-Industries? roles in the pandemic
Fatality of COVID-19 in Wuhan was only 0.04% to 0.12%, lower than seasonal flu, which has a mortality rate of about 0.1%.
Early epidemiological assessment of the transmission potential and virulence of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Wuhan City: China, January-February, 2020:
https://www.medrxiv.org/content/10.1101/2020.02.12.20022434v2
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SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data
“The mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified at the study hospital in France”.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300972
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- 00:50-Dr. Ioannidis summarizes his article titled “A fiasco in the making? As the coronavirus pandemic takes hold, we are making decisions without reliable data” (linked below)
- 03:47-The truth about COVID-19’s death rate
- 06:21-What makes COVID-19 different than the Swine Flu 08:43-How do we get accurate data on COVID-19?
- 09:47-The Diamond Princess Cruise Quarantine
- 15:12-Should everyone be tested?
- 16:47-Italy & COVID-19
- 23:06-Is self-isolation the best cure?
- 27:06-Medical supplies shortage in New York
- 29:48-But wait, what is a coronavirus?
- 34:00-What is this pandemic’s outcome? 36:26-Identifying COVID-19 cases
- 38:59-Why is COVID-19 putting a stress on the medical system?
- 41:22-The “New Normal” in the face of COVID-19
- 43:36-Is the cure worse than the disease?
- 46:55-Are we over-preparing for the affects of COVID-19?
- 47:55-The role of politics in the United States’ COVID-19 response
- 49:23-Are the current isolation orders creating a bigger problem?
- 52:20-High risk populations
- 53:39-Biases in our COVID-19 response
- 56:11-The World Health Organization’s role
- 57:40-What can we learn from this pandemic?
- 1:01:33-How long will the COVID-19 lockdown last?
EuroMOMO is an agency that monitors deaths across Europe. The chart below compares death levels in week 2 of 2017 with week 14 of 2020. The darker blue means more deaths.
