“Yes this is serious but the real question is: is this serious enough to warrant putting most of our population into house imprisonment; wrecking our economy for the indefinite period; destroying businesses that honest and hardworking people have taken years to build up; saddling future generation with debt, depression, stress, suicides and unbelievable distress inflicted on millions of people who are not especially vulnerable and will suffer only mild symptoms or none at all.”
Andrew Mather, a mathematician and financier based in the UK, offers a series of videos analysing the COVID-19 data released by various governmental and health bodies.
In this video, he presents how the government had access to data that the case-count growth rate was decelerating long before the UK lockdown.
Curve Analysis
His Primer on Curve Analysis may also be useful.
Why the UK lockdown hasn’t worked
Categories
SARS-CoV-2: fear versus data
“The mortality rate for SARS-CoV-2 is not significantly different from that for common coronaviruses identified at the study hospital in France”.
https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0924857920300972
Visit source website at http://inproportion2.talkigy.com/
Nate Silver, an American statistician, tells us why coronavirus case counts are meaningless.
*Unless you know something about testing. And even then, it gets complicated.